Who's Ahead in National Presidential Polls?

The Latest Polling Average for Each Candidate in 2024

The 270toWin Polling Average tracks the latest trends in the presidential race using data from national and battleground state polls. The average is updated daily and takes into account each poll's recency, sample size, and methodology.

Who's Ahead?

As of today, the 270toWin Polling Average shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by 4.3 points, 48.3% to 44.0%.

Polling Averages

The following table shows the polling averages for each candidate in the 2024 presidential election:

Candidate	Polling Average
Joe Biden	48.3%
Donald Trump	44.0%

Polling Trends

The polling averages show that Biden has been leading Trump since early 2023. Biden's lead has been relatively stable in recent months, but Trump has narrowed the gap slightly in the past few weeks.

Factors That Could Affect the Polls

A number of factors could affect the polls in the coming months, including the economy, the candidates' performance in debates, and the outcome of the primaries.

Conclusion

The 270toWin Polling Average shows Biden leading Trump by 4.3 points, but the race is still very close. A number of factors could affect the polls in the coming months, so it is too early to say who will win the election.

Additional Information

• 270toWin Polling Average
• RealClearPolitics 2024 Presidential Polling Data
• FiveThirtyEight 2024 Presidential Election Forecast